Many people would like to analyse which jobs, companies and industries are most exposed to AI, and assign scores, build charts, and map that against the progress of LLMs. I think this is mostly impossible: you don’t know how the jobs will change, you don’t know what else will change around this, and you can’t measure work like that anyway.
Lots of commentary out there on the impact of AI on jobs, mostly on the lines of “AI will lead to massive job losses” (tch. Dario).
This is a more nuanced take from Evans. It may feel a little unsatisfactory given the crux of the argument is that nobody can predict where this will go (a common theme of much of Evans’ writing), but I strongly believe it’s a very good framework for thinking about this.
Recommended reading. Don’t just take the conclusion, nod, and move on. Developing a deep appreciation for why you should disregard most predictions about AI is important to actually do the said disregarding.